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When a Francis Bacon triptych became the most expensive contemporary artwork sold at auction earlier this year it fuelled hopes that the art market might be credit-crunch proof.
Six months later the failure of another important Bacon work to attract a single bid at auction in New York has underlined what the leading auction houses have long feared and recently suspected: the art boom is over and it will not be back any time soon.
A sobering fortnight of big sales in New York ends this afternoon with little prospect of transactions totalling $1 billion (£676 million).
That might seem like an obscene sum of money to lavish on art in the midst of an economic crisis but it is well short of the auction houses’ own combined minimum estimate for the sales of $1.7 billion.
The fortnight included four star-studded evening sales of Impressionist and Modern and Contemporary and PostWar art, which traditionally set the tone for the art market over the next six months.
This year, despite the presence of John McEnroe, the tennis player, Salma Hayek and Steve Martin, the actors, Valentino, the fashion designer and various billionaire art collectors in the auction rooms, the four sales at Christie’s and Sotheby’s pulled in only $608.5 million, against a low estimate of $1.007 billion.
About a third of the works on offer failed to sell at all, including pieces by Picasso, Rothko, Manet, Monet, Modigliani, Matisse, Van Gogh, Cezanne, Warhol, Lichtenstein and Hirst, while many of those that did went for substantially less than the asking price.
Some records were set, brightening the gloom for the auction houses. Suprematist Composition by Kazimir Malevich, the Russian abstract pioneer, sold for $60 million and there were record prices for works by Munch and Degas among others.
Attention, however, was inevitably focused on the failures, notably the Bacon.
In May it was revealed that Roman Abramovich, the billionaire owner of Chelsea Football Club, was the mystery buyer of an $86.2 million Bacon triptych. Days earlier he paid $33.6 million for Benefits Supervisor Sleeping by Bacon’s old friend Lucian Freud.
This double splurge was seized on as evidence that the art market would weather the economic downturn thanks to stupendously wealthy collectors from Russia, China, India and the Middle East.
But those buyers were notably absent on Wednesday night when a 1964 self-portrait by Bacon, estimated by Christie’s at $40 million, failed to sell.
There were gasps in the hall when it was withdrawn from the sale.
The differing fortunes of the two Bacons reflect the seismic shifts in the global financial markets in the past two months, a connection summed up by the presence in Wednesday’s sale of 16 works, belonging to the family of Richard S. Fuld Jr, a former chief executive of Lehman Brothers, that Christie’s had guaranteed at $20 millon. The price estimates for these sales were set before the markets went into meltdown in September and European buyers were handicapped by the strengthening of the dollar.
As a result dealers, sellers, collectors and auctioneers emerged from the New York sales looking for the bottom of the market whereas not long ago they were trying to spot the peak. Ian Peck, chief executive of Art Capital Group, a merchant bank specialising in art world affairs, said: “It’s like the aftermath of a rugby match with everybody limping off the field. It’s a different universe compared to where we were six months ago.”
Marc Porter, president of Christie’s North and South America, said after the Wednesday evening sale: “The market is adjusting down.”
The New York sales followed a pattern set in significant recent auctions in London and Hong Kong.
The auction houses are the most obvious victims of the downturn. Christie’s and Sotheby’s both spent tens of millions buying lots whose prices they had guaranteed but which failed to sell. Sotheby’s share price has collapsed from more than $40 a year ago to just over $8 yesterday.
Robert Read, group fine art underwriter for Hiscox, the insurer, said that the auctions could have been much worse. “It’s no longer a champagne market,” he said. “Its more of a modest chablis, but it is still drinkable, still functioning.”
Picture imperfect
Nov 3: Sotheby’s New York Impressionist and Modern evening sale. Low estimate: $337m (£227m). Actual: $223.8m
Nov 6: Christie’s New York Impressionist and Modern evening sale. Low estimate: $240.7m Actual: $146.7m
Nov 11: Sotheby’s New York PostWar and Contemporary evening sale. Low estimate: $202.4m. Actual: $125.1m
Nov 12: Christie’s New York PostWar and Contemporary evening sale. Low estimate: $227m. Actual: $113.6m
Both auction houses have been forced to buy paintings they guaranteed would sell. Sotheby’s now owns seven guaranteed lots including Roy Lichtenstein’s Half Face with Collar (1963), estimated at $15m-$20m, and Lucian Freud’s Naked Portrait Standing (1999-2000) estimated at $9m-$12m. Christie’s owns 12 guaranteed lots, including Brice Marden’s Attendant 5 (1996-9) estimated at $10m-$15m, and Gerhard Richter’s Ozu (597) (1986) estimated at $10m-$15m
Money Central: the 10 most expensive painting ever sold at auction
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