Judith Heywood, Deputy Property Editor
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to The Sunday Times
The stock of unsold homes is rising steadily as the mood in the housing market darkens, but the array of properties is failing to tempt buyers back as homeowners demand ever-higher prices, according to Rightmove, the property website.
In its monthly survey of house prices, Rightmove said that the number of unsold properties was at its highest level for this time of year since it began to publish its survey in 2002. Each estate agent had an average of 67 homes on its books, up from 56 a month earlier, it said.
The website's figures also showed that asking prices had risen 0.8 per cent to £239,655 as homeowners try to push up prices. However, it estimates that actual selling prices have fallen 10 per cent since their peak last year.
Miles Shipside, the commercial director of Rightmove, said: “In the current market, sellers should price below their competition to achieve more interest now and avoid a larger price-drop later in the year.”
The company believes that as banks tighten their lending for mortgages, sellers must accept the new house price values quickly - or risk their home becoming unsellable.
The mismatch between what sellers will accept and what buyers can or will offer is most acute in London.
Sellers, used to a protracted housing boom, are struggling to understand how to price their home in a stagnant, or falling, market.
Lower sales prices are worst for those sellers who are downsizing or leaving the property market. Those who are upsizing can usually negotiate a more generous discount on the house that they are moving on to, dwarfing any “loss” on their existing home.
Mr Shipside said: “Most sellers seem to be ignoring the increased competition from other unsold properties and the challenge buyers now face in obtaining a mortgage.”
The unrealistic prices being asked threaten to cripple the market further, just as lenders are being reported as unwilling or unable to lend to scores of apparently creditworthy borrowers.
On Friday, The Times reported that several lenders, including the Bath and Earl Shilton building societies, had withdrawn all of their home loan products because they could not secure funding.
Yet the time that houses are on the market is falling - from 93 days to 82 days. Mr Shipside said that sales were being achieved, but at prices well below the peak of the boom.
Last week, the agents Hamptons International and John D Wood suggested that prices in some areas had fallen 10 per cent.
Asking prices are now on average only 5 per cent higher than a year ago. This contrasts with the real annual house price inflation of 2.7 per cent reported by Nationwide last month, a rate that has pushed the average house price up to £179,358.
Asking prices dropped below £225,000 in January, but have been recovering since.
Regional prices
In Wales, asking prices rose 3.5 per cent in a month.
Sellers in the West Midlands and East Anglia reduced asking prices by 2.9 per cent and 0.6 per cent, respectively.
Falls in London were sharpest at top and bottom. Kensington and Chelsea asking prices fell 4.1 per cent. Those in Redbridge fell 4.7 per cent.
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I think this 'slump' will be felt mainly by estate agents in reduced sales volume. The number of houses actually changing hands at lower prices will be small. everyone knows that in a couple of years, house prices will start to move up again. we are an island after all, and no-one is making land any more.
andrew, swindon, uk
People continue to overestimate how far prices may fall.I no longer live in London but still own property.I first bought 6 years ago in an already expensive area and it still rose a further 75%. Will i need to sell if it now goes 20% lower? No. Will most people who got into BTL need to sell? No. I will be buying more if prices fall and I do not mind if I buy one property after a 10% fall and the next property after a 20% fall. Long term it will rise again.Very few people in Surrey who own homes on the market for over 1m are going to sell if the "value" falls to 600k.Just hold it until the market rises again.What will force prices lower are people who really need to sell and most people who sell do so to move to a larger property.When people realise they cannot sell their home for what they want they will just stay put-not panic and sell it for 50% less. As ever it will be the most recent buyers and buyers in less well off areas that suffer the most and they dont control the market.
Galen, Singapore,
This is the third big house price boom/slump I have seen since I bought my first house in 1974. I have a house and some money to invest in another. I am as certain as it is possible to be that my money will buy a lot more at the end of this year than it can buy now. Ad to that the fact that the two previous price stagnations/slumps lasted over two year and the prospect of keeping your money until 2010 gets more attractive.
Peter Ryder, Middlewich, UK
With all the empty properties about, which aren't selling, and more to come when the buy-to-let brigade try to cash in their chips, if I were a prospective first time buyer I would offer at sensible levels, ie no more than £40K for a new build flat, no more than £65K for a starter home. If the Estate Agents laugh, let them, soon they are going to have thousands upon thousands of way-overvalued unsold properties. 2008 to 2012 should see a net 50% fall in prices and prospective first-time buyers should all *bear* that in mind. The long overdue correction is starting.
Paul, Coventry,
I don't think asking prices are rising per se. It seems to be more a case of sellers dumping high end properties. There are about 1500 properties on at over a million in the Surrey area, There surely cannot be buyer for all these. Expect those million pound houses to be down to £600K in 18 months from now.
mike livingston, Reigate, UK
I asked an estate agent why they had a new property on for such such a ridiculously high price and he said "why sir, because all the surveys are saying prices will go up 10% over next year". However not only is that not happening but prices have dropped a few percent and are due to carry on falling. Ergo most stock out there is, conservatively speaking, 20% overvalued wrt today's market. Let alone what it will be like in a couple of years' time.
Davie P, London,
This will continue as naturaly people have difficulty in accepting that their house has actualy gone down in value. Some can see this as some sort of reflection on their own judgement or taste in a home. At the end of this summer though prices will be substantialy below their current levels everywhere. To disbelieve this is to ignore the principles of 'a willing seller and a willing buyer'. What first time buyer is going to be buying, now that the biggest financial commitment of their lives looks to be declining in value every month. They are going to sit on their deposits and make 'silly offers'. Not a bad strategy in the current climate.
David Nammory, Liverpool,
"The stock of unsold homes is rising steadily as the mood in the housing market darkens"
But you lot keep telling everyone that there is a chronic housing shortage in the UK and this will stop prices falling. Surely stock is just another word for supply. Another support is yanked from beneath the already wobbling housing market.
Edward, London,
I had a feeling this might happen - home-owners/estate agents are kicking up asking prices in the expectation that they'll get haggled down. As a prospective FTB, I'm sitting tight on my money for the foreseeable
Mark, Worthing, UK