Helen Nugent
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Banks and building societies have been forced to change the way they lend to homeowners because a combination of rising house prices and low interest rates have transformed the mortgage market.
Just 15 years ago, when spiralling interest rates forced more than 1 million households into negative equity, an income multiple of 3.5 times was fairly typical. Today lenders will offer up to five times salary, with one bank prepared to give seven times salary in exceptional circumstances.
While an income multiple of five or six times salary may seem huge, mortgage brokers say that homeowners can afford the repayments.
Ray Boulger, senior technical manager at John Charcol, a leading independent mortgage broker, said: “Up to the early 1990s, lenders had to budget for interest rates in the mid teens, but over the past eight years the range of bank interest rates has only been between 3.5 per cent and 6 per cent. What that means is that both the lender and the borrower are more confident than they would have been in the past.
“Basically, borrowing is cheaper. So someone with a mortgage of 3.5 times salary in 1992 who has a 5 times salary today is now devoting roughly the same part of their income to their mortgage repayments.”
In order to deal with increasing requests from first-time buyers and other mortgage customers for bigger and bigger mortgages, many lenders have taken to using an “affordability” model.
Instead of basing a mortgage offer purely on an individual’s income multiple, lenders now assess a number of additional factors. These range from the borrower’s credit rating and unsecured debts to their ability to meet future repayments if interest rates rise.
David Hollingworth, a spokesman for L&C Mortgages, a broker firm, said: “Lenders aren’t increasing income multiples willy-nilly. The affordability assessment is based around the individual’s ability to meet the repayments.
“But the big question is this: will lenders keep finding ways to justifiably increase income multiples without affecting affordability? Or will it just be the case that people won’t be able to afford to borrow beyond a certain level?
“If the latter is the case, there will come a point where house prices flatten out.”
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I was in England 15 years ago and luckily just managed to sell before the housing slump. We bought a house near Stockport for about 20,000 in 1989 and sold in 1992 for 50,000. The money we made paid for us to emigrate to Perth, Australia. We sold our house privately and the first two couples who came to view it couldn't get mortgages even though they were both working. It amazes me how people are making a start now. Borrowing is cheaper now but people have a lot more expenses. Back in 1992 I wouldn't imagine people had mobile phone bills to worry about for one thing. People also seem less worried about having large depts. My nieces left Uni recently with debts around 20,000. They didn't seem to find this a problem but their reasoning for this was "everyone else is in the same boat". They both had cars and mobiles whilst at Uni and didn't seem to have any trouble borrowing money to fund their fairly expensive lifestyles. Lets hope the banks get repaid someday.
Paul, Perth, Australia
The current situation is similar to the old 'wage/price' spiral of the 1980's that plagued the UK. Now we have the 'lending/house price' spiral to contend with. Initially prices increase by a small amount and banks respond by lending more as total payments are low due to low IR - the estate agents see this and raise prices a bit more again - the banks accommodate them and offer larger mortgages as they are still 'affordable' (sic)- the spiral is now established and will run rampant as the banks find more and more ways to lend larger and larger amounts.
Left to run this would cause a huge bubble in the housing market. Oh! we're there.
Dave W, Exeter, UK
We are going to be left with a huge debt overhang!!
Why no one mentioning that the capital repayments on these mortgage will simply be IMPOSSIBLE, as soon as interest rates hit 6%.
What is the great progress of renting life long from the bank?
Michele, Richmond,
Affordability. The scam still exists that if someone wants to pay a large amount for a property they can as it is their decision. NO THEY CANNOT! It is down to the lenders to determine if the borrower can afford it. Not the Estate Agent, not the buyer, not the seller - the Banks. In other words, the only way you get a runaway price increase is if the lenders relax their lend criteria. They have not and guess why - they are the very bodies that earn from an inflated market. Not just today, not just tomorrow - but for years to come. Banks are central to the functionality of society. When Banks look for easy pickings and throw out decency, society begins to crumble under stress. This takes years to occur and years to rectify.
Paul, London, Canada
Whilst borrowing may have been cheaper than average over the last 8 or so years, mortgages are normally a 25 year obligation.
It is sensless for banks to offer mortgages of 7 times salary, which are affordable now, given that history suggests that they will not be affordable in the longer term.
I think that, deals of more than 3.5 times salary based on "affordability", should only be available where the rate is capped/fixed for a minimum of 10 years. In this way the current affordability calculation is likely to remain relevant for a decent length of time.
Bob, Reading,