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Why do mortgage lenders suddenly not want customers?
First Direct has, temporarily, withdrawn all its mortgage deals saying it has been swamped by applications. This comes after similar action from Nationwide and Cheltenham & Gloucester. The credit crunch is becoming a mortgage squeeze; the banks are repairing the damage done to their balance sheets by their involvement with sub-prime debt. They are focused on savers and are fearful of making a loss from lending to homebuyers.
So, is it now impossible to get a loan?
No, just much more difficult, unless you have considerable savings, or equity in your home. The outlook is bleakest for would-be first-time buyers without substantial deposits.
Will I be able to remortgage?
Most banks are reserving funds for creditworthy customers who are remortgaging. All borrowers would be well advised to ensure that they have an impeccable credit record: late credit card payments will reduce your chances of getting finance.
What does this mean for property prices?
The shortage of funds will depress an already much cooler market. But although most economists are turning more gloomy, only a few forecast a slump. Malcolm Barr of JPMorgan predicts an upturn next year; others see improvement in 2010. In the meantime, the absence of first-time buyers will be felt keenly, especially since buy-to-let investors are now less eager purchasers of lower-priced properties. Prices are up to 10 per cent lower than last year.
Will borrowing soon get cheaper?
Unlikely. While there is hope of further base-rate cuts, lenders will not pass on savings.
What’s the best way to sell my house now?
If you need to move, set an asking price that will attract interest and act quickly. George Franks, of the London agent Douglas & Gordon, says: “If the seller takes three or four days to decide, the purchaser has often already found somewhere else.”
Is this a good time to sell up and rent?
Nick Leeming, of Propertyfinder, the website, says: “The average home has to fall more than 7 per cent in value before you break even once you take into account all the costs of selling, moving and then buying again.” Note also that rents are rising rapidly.
Should I even be thinking of trading up?
Selling and buying in the same market can make sense. Phil Spencer, television presenter and chief executive of Garrington Home Finders, says: “If you are selling a £500,000 house and prices have fallen 10 per cent, you may have to accept £450,000. But if you are buying a £1 million house, you will pay £100,000 less.”
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No good news at all for those retiring, selling up and downshifting. Family businesses have been hit by the CGT changes. Pension funds have been raided and annuity rules are punitive. This government has and will continue to extract the wealth of hard working and entrepreneurial folk. Plan your retirement well and think very carefully about whether the UK is the place to end your days - or even start them for that matter!
Simon, London,
Of course there is good news. FTB's will soon be able to buy at affordable levels, without overextending themselves. Growing families stuck in FTB properties will be able to trade up without having to borrow so much. House prices returning to sensible (pre-2001) levels is good news - bring it on!
Paul, Coventry,
HIPs; stamp duty thresholds at £250K and £500K that will not change in the foreseable future now that prices are falling; low wage rises related to the government's inflation figures, the credit crunch, household costs rocketing, is there any good news.? The UK property bonanza is over for now and wise heads will be considering more fruitful areas of investment; there is always another 'Bubble' around the corner as the smart money knows.
john, milton keynes,
None of these optimists seem to have experence of the past, when we have had several heavy slumps in house prices. Of Course it is not in the interest of these pundits to be negative on a market in which they have a stake in keeping positive. Neverthless, the demand may be there, but where is the money to purchase ? As the market moves down so the first time buyers who support this market will increasingly sit on their deposits, perhaps even until prices fall too far (whatever figure that may be)
David Nammory, Liverpool,