Grainne Gilmore, Economics Correspondent and Gary Duncan
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The number of mortgages taken out slumped by nearly 50 per cent last month as the mortgage drought left buyers scrambling to secure home loans in the wake of the credit crunch.
Mortgage lenders approved 35,417 loans for house purchases in March, down by 46.2 per cent compared with March last year, according to figures from the British Bankers’ Association. This came as additional evidence emerged of a slowdown in the housing market, heightening fears that house prices may tumble further.
Estate agents said activity in the market halved in the past year. Agents sold an average of seven properties each during March, compared with 14 per agent during the same month last year. They said that first-time buyers accounted for only 8.3 per cent of sales last month, down from 11.7 per cent in February.
The cost of an average property slipped by nearly £5,000 to £191,556 last month, according to Halifax. But experts gave warning that the lack of new entrants to the market could cause further price falls.
Lenders are still dragging their heels about passing on April’s rate cut to existing borrowers. Only 38 out of 100 lenders have so far said they will be reducing their standard variable rate nearly two weeks after the rate cut, according to Moneyfacts.co.uk.
Mortgage rates have also soared as lenders pass on the increased cost of wholesale funding. The difference between base rate and three-month sterling Libor, the rate at which UK banks lend to one another, widened fractionally to 0.886 per cent yesterday, indicating growing stress. This spread, which had narrowed in the previous six sessions, is seen as a key indidator of the intensity of the credit crunch and is an important factor in the pricing of new mortgages. Lenders signalled that the unprecendented bailout by the Bank of England announced earlier this week was unlikely to lead to a fall in mortgage rates.
Hopes of renewed action by the Bank of England to ease lending conditions with another interest rate cut next month were undercut by news of a rare three-way split on its rate-setting committee over this month’s reduction in rates. In the first such split on the Monetary Policy Committee for nearly two years, two members opposed the rate cut a fortnight ago, while one demanded a more aggressive half-point reduction, minutes of its meeting revealed.
The divergence of view on the MPC was only its sixth such three-way division in its decade-long existence and it wrongfooted the City.
Sterling leapt as economists said that this reduced the chances of a back-to-back cut in rates next month. The record showed that while six of the nine MPC members backed a rate cut to reduce risks to a fragile economy, Andrew Sentance and Tim Besley, the panel’s arch-hawks, said it was premature to cut this month.
In stark contrast, David Blanchflower, the MPC’s arch-dove, sounded a warning that Britain could mimic the grim economic fortunes of the United States and voted for an immediate half-point reduction.
The Bank remains highly concerned over persistent inflationary pressures. That threat was emphasised last night by Dr Sentance. He told the CBI that the pound was likely to stay weak for some time and he argued that this would not only fuel price pressures but help to cushion the economy from the credit crunch by boosting imports.
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Gordon Brown was telling us the economy was sustainable under New Labour policies, no wonder bortrowers became over confident. Lets not juest blame banks after all the Government were happy to pocket the stamp duty... and spend it
Rob Healey, Hetford, UK
The last housing boom was fed by reduced taxation and financial deregulation, leading to increased demand.
This time the banks are culpable; increase the money supply and you get inflation in the housing market. I thought inflation was a bad thing - it's not real growth at all.
Neil Mordecai, Braintree, Essex
what buyers?
This is utter rubbish...
You would have to be insane to even try to buy a house now..
Prices are coming down faster than that falling sharp knife you wouldnt catch
mark, Chester, Cheshire,
It's important to keep inflation under control, a faultering economy will help keep inflation down but with the amount we import we also need a strong currency to keep inflation down.
The market will sort out house prices.
David, Marlow, Bucks
UK dos not produce anything else but mortgages!
riccardo, brussels,
It think if people start buying houses as homes to live in and not for quick investment or buy to let then the market will go into a bit of a down turn but it will even out and end up being better off.
Scott, Aberdeenshire, Scotland
britain is a tax and spend economy. we dont manufacture anymore and when we do we use imported components. if we reduce public spending we will be in recession. house prices are high because building land is in short supply cos planners think that a grass field is worth conserving. grow fuel crops.
steve johnson, stockton, durham
Current mortgage rates are a side effect of globalisation. In the global financial markets, the BoE dropping UK interest rates is almost irrelevant. The financial markets are beyond the control of the BoE as we found out many years ago on Black Wednesday.
Keith, Ashford,
Is there any news yet as to whether the predicted flood of buy-to-let homes has come on the market as a results of the tax changes?
AH, London, UK
John Reigate, buy a home in California then wait to get your property taxes, your service charges, your disposal and energy bills etc. Insurance is a multiple of the UK. There's a recession but if you get a job you'll pay state and federal tax. There's no NHS or public transport - Ca is expensive!
Tom Moncrieff, London, England
Jyotin, George town, Cayman Islands
You cannot build a sustainable economy on ever increasing home prices. All the growth of the "Brown miracle" is based on debt expansion and its servicing and is always going to lead to reduced consumption at some point in the future.
Edward, London,
"There are fears that the scarcity of new homebuyers coming to the market could further depress house prices."
Why is that a fear? Prices are massively inflated and need to reduce. That's not 'depression', its correction. Stop talking this nonsense: put it in its inflationary context.
Joe, Manchester,
Property prices in the UK will have to fall a lot to stop youngsters like me and most of my friends from seeking a better life abroad. They are practically giving away homes in the US, even California is pretty cheap now. It's a global society and the UK simply doesnt measure up anymore.
John, Reigate,
so what???? House prices will go up anyway!!! They always go up ...
Alex, Chelsea,
I find it difficult tp fathom the glee in falling house prices. Some people seem to think that "greedy buyers" are just getting their comeuppence. Falling house prices are going to depress spending on conveyancing and solicitors yes, but it will also decrease spending overall, hurting many companies
Jyotin, George town, Cayman Islands
This is good news which will go some way to redressing the huge volume of private debt in this country. Hopefully mortgage equity withdrawl - which should never have been permitted in the first place - will also fall accordingly. As house prices fall, so too will the volumes of money loaned.
Paul, Coventry,
This is not the right time to buy as prices are over-inflated - the general public and banks seem to be showing common sense! Let the market operate.
Pity for estate agents, buy to let speculators and those whose property values have doubled in the last 5 years - sometimes greed is NOT good...
Alex, Edinburgh, Scotland